展望2014年,十八届三中全会有关经济体制改革的决定将提振社会各界信心,宏观调控政策会继续发挥积极作用,中国宏观经济将保持中高速平稳增长态势。一、宏观经济运行内外部环境分析(一)世界经济延续缓慢增长态势2014年,世界经济增长情况有望好于2013年,增长格局逐步由新兴经济体主导转变为发达经济体主导,国际货币基金组织预测世界总产出2013年增长2.9%,2014年增长3.6%,提高0.7个百分点。一是美、欧、日等发达国家经济延续 Looking ahead to 2014, the decision of the Third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee on the reform of the economic structure will boost the confidence of all sectors of society. The macro-control policy will continue to play an active role and China’s macro-economy will maintain its steady growth at a moderate to high speed. I. Internal and External Economic Analysis of Macroeconomic Operations (I) Slow Growth of the World Economy In 2014, the global economic growth is expected to be better than that in 2013, and the growth pattern is gradually shifting from emerging economies to dominant ones in advanced economies. The International Monetary Fund World output is forecast to grow by 2.9% in 2013 and by 3.6% in 2014, an increase of 0.7 percentage points. First, the United States, Europe, Japan and other developed countries continued economic