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滑坡地质灾害的控制及影响因素往往是随机的变量,具有相当的模糊性和灰色不确定性。本文构造了滑坡时间预测(短期预测)的灰色GM(1,1)模型。通过对某一滑坡实例的监测资料分析研究,并且对观测数据进行灰色处理,运用GM(1,1)模型进行滑坡时间预测能取得较为满意的结果。
Landslide geological disaster control and influencing factors are often random variables, with considerable ambiguity and gray uncertainty. In this paper, a gray GM (1,1) model of landslide time prediction (short-term prediction) is constructed. By analyzing the monitoring data of a landslide instance and using the gray data of the observed data, the GM (1,1) model can be used to predict the landslide time. Satisfactory results can be obtained.