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以云南省5个州市、6个县市、11个乡镇、46个村委会、95个村民小组和650户农户的抽样调查为例,结合工作实际,采用文献研究、理论分析、统计分析,运用二分类Logistic模型,定量分析了家庭承包经营方式对林地经营的主要影响因素,建立了计量模型。分析表明:林地面积、森林起源、林地获得形式、是否有林权证、林改后是否发生病虫害、采伐指标是否有影响、是否愿意林权流转、是否愿意林权抵押贷款、是否愿意加入林业专业合作社、是否有投入资金紧缺的困难、是否存在林地面积小的困难和希望得到科技服务等12个因子对林地经营存在影响;提出全面推进改革、完善采伐管理机制、规范林权流转、加大金融支持、创建合作组织、建立森林保险制度、加大科技服务等政策建议。
Taking the sampling survey of 5 townships, 6 counties and cities, 11 townships, 46 village committees, 95 villager groups and 650 rural households in Yunnan Province as an example, this paper uses the literature research, theoretical analysis and statistical analysis , Using the dichotomous Logistic model to quantitatively analyze the main factors affecting the management of forest land by household contract management mode and establish a measurement model. The analysis shows that the forest area, the origin of forest, the form of forest land acquisition, whether there is forest ownership certificate, whether pests and diseases occur after the forest reform, whether the logging index has an impact, whether the forestry right circulation is willing, whether the forestry right mortgage loan is willing to join the forestry professional cooperatives , Whether there are difficulties in investing funds, whether there are small difficulties in forest land area and the hope of getting science and technology services, and other 12 factors have an impact on forest land management; put forward to push forward the reform in an all-round way, perfect the logging management mechanism, regulate the flow of forest rights and increase financial support , The establishment of cooperative organizations, the establishment of forest insurance system, increase technical services and other policy recommendations.