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这篇论文提出一个预测一台电潜泵概率寿命的数学模型。前提是使用一个叫做“油松单纯消亡过程”的统计方法，它根据稀少的数据来预测系统故障的概率。该项技术仅需要一个参数，并且应用从西德克萨斯一个油田收集来的电潜泵故障数据进行检验。
This paper presents a mathematical model that predicts the probabilistic life expectancy of an ESP. The premise is to use a statistical method called “Pinus tabolla death simply”, which predicts the probability of system failure based on scarce data. The technology requires only one parameter and is tested using ESP data collected from an oil field in West Texas.