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为实现对地铁施工系统风险的动态分析,运用基于集对分析的五元联系数风险综合评价模型,建立地铁施工系统的风险综合评价体系。利用该风险综合评价体系,综合评价某段地铁施工项目的风险,并分析其风险态势以及风险发展趋势。结果表明,该风险综合评价体系可以避免传统评价方法不能对风险趋势做出合理预测的缺点,能够定量表达复杂系统的决策思维,在实际应用中具有可操作性,使风险评价结果更加科学合理。
In order to realize the dynamic analysis of subway construction system risk, a five-element connection risk comprehensive evaluation model based on set pair analysis was established to establish the risk comprehensive evaluation system of subway construction system. Using this comprehensive risk assessment system, the risk of a certain subway construction project is evaluated comprehensively, and its risk status and risk development trend are analyzed. The result shows that this risk comprehensive evaluation system can avoid the disadvantage that the traditional evaluation method can not reasonably predict the risk trend, and can quantitatively express the decision-making thinking of complex systems. It is feasible in practical application and makes the risk evaluation result more scientific and reasonable.