论文部分内容阅读
近几个月来,我国粮食价格出现了近六年来少见的大幅度上涨,粮食价格的波动还引发了农产品产业链上的连锁反应。究其原因,这一轮粮食价格的上涨固然是由国内外供求关系所引发,然而供求变化所导致的市场主体预期的变化亦成为价格波动的重要因素。 预期是决策者对与他决策有关的不确定的经济变量所作的预测。价格预期是市场主体多元化,经济决策分散化的客观必然。在粮食市场上,形成价格预期的主体主要有:生产者(农民)、进口商、收购方和消费者。
In recent months, the grain prices in our country have seen a rare and substantial increase in recent six years. The fluctuation of grain prices has also triggered a chain reaction in the agricultural products industrial chain. The reason is that this round of rising food prices is triggered by the relationship between supply and demand at home and abroad. However, the expected changes in market participants caused by changes in supply and demand have also become important factors in price fluctuations. Expectations are the projections of policymakers on the uncertain economic variables associated with his decision-making. Price expectations are the main body of the market diversification, economic decision-making is inevitable. In the food market, the main price formation expected are: producers (farmers), importers, buyers and consumers.