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在金融危机演变为全球经济危机之初,国内及我市经济受到严重冲击,形势非常严峻。在这个关键时刻,对经济形势和走向如何判断关系重大。为此,本刊于2008年第11期至2009年第1期,邀请天津市经济发展研究所的专业研究人员对金融危机的成因、经济运行趋势以及对中国及天津经济的影响进行了研判和分析,并提出了相关应对建议,引起了广泛关注,获得了高度好评。回首看来,当时的很多预测分析与之后的经济发展形势高度吻合,对策建议也与宏观政策精神相一致。当前,在适度宽松的货币政策和积极的财政政策作用下,中国经济已经出现了很多积极迹象,然而各界对于未来经济走势仍有不同的研判,还存在一些看法。为此我们对天津市经济发展研究所王天伟所长进行了专访,请王所长廓清经济危机的成因、发展及影响,对未来经济走势、应对策略进行预测、分析。
As the financial crisis evolved into the beginning of the global economic crisis, the domestic economy and the economy of our city were seriously affected. The situation is very grim. At this crucial juncture, it is of great significance to judge the economic situation and direction. To this end, this issue in 2008 No. 11 to 2009 No. 1, invited Tianjin Institute of Economic Development of professional researchers on the causes of financial crisis, economic trends and impact on China and Tianjin economy were judged and Analysis, and put forward relevant coping suggestions, aroused widespread concern, has received high praise. Looking back, a lot of the forecast analysis at that time is highly consistent with the economic development afterwards, and the countermeasures and suggestions are also consistent with the spirit of macroeconomic policies. At present, with the moderately loose monetary policy and the proactive fiscal policy, there have been many positive signs in the Chinese economy. However, there is still a lot of judgments on the future economic trends in various circles. There are still some views. To this end, we conducted an interview with Director Wang Tianwei of Tianjin Institute of Economic Development and asked Director Wang to clarify the causes, development and impact of the economic crisis and make forecast and analysis on future economic trends and coping strategies.