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每个人都想知道未来是什么样子,对于大多数人来讲,未来更多是一种憧憬,是一种对理想和愿望的想象。而在未来学家看来,也许未来并没有那么浪漫,他们首先想到的也许是人口危机、艾滋病蔓延、环境污染加剧、物种大规模灭绝、臭氧空洞扩大等等。所谓未来学,就是根据当前世界的情况去预测未来,并且力避免未来可能的灾难而提出预防的对策。如果现在采取了较为准确的对策,人类就能够在一定程度上选择和控制未来。因此,未来学不仅研究未来,而且还研究过去和现在。所以,可以说,未来学的目标是未来,可是它更多的是研究历史和现在。
Everyone wants to know what the future looks like. For most people, the future is more of a vision and an imagination of ideal and desire. For futurists, perhaps the future is not so romantic. Perhaps the first thing they think about is the population crisis, the spread of AIDS, the worsening of environmental pollution, the mass extinction of species, the expansion of the ozone hole and so on. The so-called futurology is based on the current world situation to predict the future, and to prevent potential future catastrophe proposing preventive measures. If we adopt a more accurate countermeasure now, human beings will be able to choose and control the future to a certain extent. Therefore, futurology not only studies the future, but also studies the past and the present. Therefore, we can say that the goal of futurology is the future, but it is more about history and the present.