近几年,苍南县手足口病发病高峰每年自3月份开始,至7月份疫情开始缓解,疫情发展与气象因素存在一定联系,现将苍南县2010—2011年手足口病疫情与当地气象因素建立预测模型,为政府卫生部门防控手足口病提供相应依据。1资料与方法1.1资料来源疫情资料来源于《国家疾病监测 In recent years, the peak incidence of hand-foot-mouth disease in Cangnan County starts from March each year to July and the epidemic begins to ease. There is a certain connection between epidemic situation development and meteorological factors. Now, the epidemic situation of hand-foot-mouth disease and the local meteorological factors in Cangnan County are established Prediction model for the prevention and control of hand, foot and mouth disease government health departments to provide the appropriate basis. 1 Materials and Methods 1.1 Sources of information from the "national disease surveillance