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因县级市用电量受行业经营状况和温度影响较大,使得供电企业供电量难以预测,本文以某县级市(A市)为例,从年供电量增长趋势,行业用电趋势和业扩报装及温度影响三个方面对A市进行电量预测分析。通过对比分析发现细分供电量,从多角度分析得出的预测值与实际值更为接近,使县级供电企业决策者更加了解本地区供电量的构成,为营销决策提供可靠的依据。
Because of the county-level city electricity consumption by the industry operating conditions and temperature greater impact on the supply of power supply makes it difficult to predict the power supply. This paper, a county-level city (A City), for example, from the annual power supply growth trend, industry trends and Industry expansion and installation of temperature effects on the three aspects of the city of A power forecasting and analysis. The comparative analysis shows that the subdivision of electricity supply and the forecast from the multi-angle analysis are closer to the actual values, which makes the decision-makers of county-level power supply enterprises have a better understanding of the composition of power supply in the region and provide a reliable basis for marketing decision-making.