国家经济增速与国家竞争力/影响力的时空关系

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经济发展速度一直是各国家经济发展水平的重要测度指标,但国家经济增速与国家竞争/影响力之间的关系及可能的阈值需要进行深入地研究,尤其是在中国经济增速下滑的背景下,迫切需要阐释经济增速下降是否影响国家竞争力/影响力。在评述既有研究进展的基础上,采用时空分析路径,探讨国家经济发展速度与国家竞争力/影响力的时空关系。首先,从历史的角度分析了15世纪以来世界权力中心的演变路径,考察了英国、美国等世界权力中心的国家经济增速变化,总结其发展规律,考察国家影响力与国家经济增速之间的对应关系。然后着眼于空间视角,考察目前国家经济增速与国家竞争力的空间分异,尤其是考察两者之间关系的分异关系,总结主要特征与规律。研究发现国家经济增速与国家影响力之间并非存在严格的线性关系,但国家影响力的培育与强化仍需要一定的经济增速进行支撑,而国家经济增速与国家竞争力之间呈现逆向的对应关系,经济高速增长的国家往往竞争力较低,竞争力较高的国家往往有较低的经济增速甚至负增长。 The speed of economic development has always been an important measure of the economic development level of various countries. However, the relationship between the national economic growth and the national competition / influence and the possible threshold need to be studied in depth, especially in the context of the slowdown of China’s economic growth There is an urgent need to explain whether a declining economic growth affects national competitiveness / influence. On the basis of reviewing the existing research progress, this paper uses the spatio-temporal analysis approach to explore the spatio-temporal relationship between national economic growth rate and national competitiveness / influence. First of all, from the historical point of view, it analyzes the evolution route of the world power center since the 15th century, examines the change of the country’s economic growth rate in the world power centers such as Britain and the United States, summarizes its development law and examines the relations between the country’s influence and the national economic growth rate The corresponding relationship. Then, focusing on the perspective of space, this paper examines the current spatial differentiation of economic growth and national competitiveness. In particular, it examines the relationship between the two separately and summarizes the main features and laws. The study finds that there is not a strict linear relationship between the national economic growth and the national influence. However, the cultivation and strengthening of the national influence still need certain economic growth support, while the national economic growth and the national competitiveness are in reverse Countries with high economic growth are often less competitive and those with higher competitiveness tend to have lower growth rates or even negative growth rates.
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