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环境效率是对经济发展所付出的环境代价程度的衡量。本文从环境效率的预警角度出发,界定了“环境效率景气”的概念,构建了环境效率景气指标体系,通过经济景气分析法编制景气指数并进行分析。结果表明,我国工业环境效率在2001~2011年期间运行状态良好,扩散指数和合成指数均反映和预示了环境效率的运行情况。但个别先行指标的不景气动向也警示了:环境效率的持续改进和景气运行亟需推动产业结构升级、优化能源消费结构、加大环保资金和技术投入、完善环境管理和污染防治。
Environmental efficiency is a measure of the level of environmental costs paid to economic development. From the perspective of early warning of environmental efficiency, this article defines the concept of “environmental efficiency and prosperity”, constructs an indicator system of environmental efficiency and prosperity, and then compiles and analyzes the prosperity index through the economic climate analysis. The results show that the efficiency of industrial environment in China runs well from 2001 to 2011, and both the diffusion index and the composite index reflect and foresee the operation of environmental efficiency. However, the downturn trend of individual leading indicators also warns that continuous improvement of environmental efficiency and economic prosperity urgently need to promote the upgrading of industrial structure, optimize the energy consumption structure, increase investment in environmental protection funds and technology, and improve environmental management and pollution prevention and control.