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近几年来,我国楼市价格进入暴涨时期,形成了明显的“泡沫”。随着国家的宏观调控和美国次贷危机引发的世界金融危机的爆发,2007年底,我国各大城市楼价经历了大幅上涨后,出现了成交量下降价格下跌的情况。2008年,房地产市场更加疲软。对此,先后爆发了楼市“拐点”之争和救市之争。在争论的硝烟仍然弥漫之时,一些地方政府在面临社会舆论的压力下出台了各项救市政策。从支持联盟框架来看,这是因为地方政府作为现有房地产政策的支持联盟,并没有发生结构性变化,在它们各自的辖区内仍然具有统治性影响。不过,尽管出台了一系列救市政策,效果却不尽人意,其原因主要在于反对救市政策支持联盟的存在。要想改变这种局面,可以从寻求现实世界的变化、人员的变化以及政策学习来努力。但是,这些努力能够取得多大成效,仍值得进一步审视。救市政策要起到良好效果,从根本上来说,还需要整个宏观经济环境的好转。
In recent years, China’s property market prices into a period of soaring, forming a clear “bubble ”. With the macroeconomic regulation and control and the outbreak of the global financial crisis triggered by the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis, by the end of 2007, the prices of major cities in our country experienced a sharp rise. In 2008, the real estate market weakened. In response, broke the property market “inflection point ” dispute and rescue the dispute. While the controversy continues to be pervasive, some local governments have issued various bailout policies under the pressure of public opinion. In terms of supporting coalition frameworks, this is because local governments, as supporting coalitions for existing real estate policies, have not experienced structural changes and still have a dominant influence within their respective jurisdictions. However, despite the introduction of a series of bailout policies, the effect is not satisfactory, mainly due to the opposition to the bailout policy support alliance. To change this situation, efforts can be made from seeking changes in the real world, changes in personnel, and policy learning. However, the effectiveness of these efforts can not be further examined. Bailout policy to play a good effect, fundamentally speaking, also need to improve the macroeconomic environment.