“预测”似乎成为当前地产市场最热门也最具影响力的一件事。年初,由于受国内外总体经济形势的影响,去年房市的清冷局面有持续的迹象,来自各方的预测几乎异口同声地在判断“市场持续下行”的同时,呼吁政府“救市”。这一预测和呼吁的效果可谓极其显著:从中央政府出台降息减税政策,到各地方政府陆续拿出诸如给购房者补贴、买房送户口、给开发商减免营业税等种种措施,极大地刺激了房地产业的发展,使房市在一个较短时期内迅速回暖。年中,面对房市从“严冬”飞跃到“盛夏”的骤热情景, “Forecast ” seems to be the hottest and most influential thing in the real estate market. At the beginning of this year, due to the impact of the general economic situation both at home and abroad, the cooling situation in the housing market last year showed signs of persistence. The forecasts from all parties almost unanimously called for the government to “save the market” while judging “the market continued to downturn.” The effect of this prediction and appeal can be described as extremely remarkable. From the central government’s introduction of a policy of cutting interest rates and reducing taxes, various local governments have come up with various measures such as subsidies for home buyers, buying houses for sale, and business tax relief for developers, greatly stimulating The development of the real estate industry, the housing market in a relatively short period of rapid recovery. In the middle of the year, facing the sudden hot scene of the property market leaping from “harsh winter” to “midsummer”