“大胆的假设,小心的求证”虽是一个老话题,但也是一个新话题,不仅因为对其方法论本身存有诸多的误解,而且其新颖性也可通过对已有命题的重新阐释予以实现。本文试图考辨与厘清这一理论方法的学术来源,挖掘和还原方法背后科学哲学的学术理路,论证其作为方法论的价值与生命力,并希冀以此获得一般意义上方法论的普遍性认识和结论。 The “bold assumption, careful confirmation” is an old topic but also a new one, not only because of the many misunderstandings of its methodology itself, but also its novelty, through the reinterpretation of existing propositions achieve. This article attempts to examine and clarify the academic sources of this theoretical method, excavate and restore the academic philosophy behind the philosophy of science, demonstrate its value and vitality as a methodology, and hope to obtain a general understanding and conclusion of the methodology in the general sense.