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软科学硬研究是决策支持研究的发展方向.在林业系统采用层次分析法(AHP法)进行战略研究还是新尝试,本项研究通过建立由5个制约方面、lO个制约因素和6个重点领域方案组成的层次结构和相应的判断矩阵,在定性判断的基础上,对所选6个营林科技发展战略重点进行了定量化的优先程度分析.结果表明,病虫害防治技术及速生丰产林营造技术名列前茅.研究还指出,AHP方法的应用是有效的和可行的.
Soft science hard research is the development direction of decision support research.In the forestry system using AHP (AHP method) to carry out strategic research is a new attempt, this study by the establishment of the five constraints, lO constraints and six key areas Based on the qualitative judgment, this paper analyzed the priority of quantitative analysis of selected six strategic forest science and technology development strategies.The results showed that the prevention and control of pests and diseases and the technology of planting fast-growing and high-yield forest The study also pointed out that the application of AHP method is effective and feasible.