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本文使用森岛—奥乔亚方法和世界投入产出表数据(WIOD)对发达国家和发展中国家之间存在的不平等交换进行了实证研究,证实在1995~2009年的样本期间内二者之间确实存在足以对它们的增长速度产生影响的价值转移。同时,本文发现以中国为代表的部分发展中国家在这个时期通过产业结构的调整正在逐步摆脱不平等交换的影响,但同时也加重了世界范围的产能过剩。在此结论的基础上,本文认为对于不平等交换的实证研究可以为生产过剩的危机理论提供一个佐证。
This paper uses Sender-Ochoa method and World Input-Output Table (WIOD) empirical study of the inequality exchange between developed and developing countries, confirming that during the sample period from 1995 to 2009, both There is indeed a transfer of value that is sufficient to affect their rate of growth. At the same time, this paper finds that some developing countries represented by China are gradually getting rid of the influence of inequality exchange through the adjustment of industrial structure during this period, but at the same time, they also aggravate the worldwide overcapacity. Based on this conclusion, this paper argues that the empirical study of inequality exchange can provide a corroboration of the crisis theory of overproduction.