论文部分内容阅读
“珠江模式”、“温州模式”、“苏南模式”的发源地是中国经济发展的前沿地带,评估其可持续发展情况对中国经济的下一步发展具有重要的指导意义.本文采用真实发展指标(GPI),评估了1995—2012年中国“三大经济模式”下广州、深圳、温州、苏州、无锡、常州6个典型城市的可持续发展情况.结果表明:研究期间,6个城市的GDP呈指数型增长,但GPI在1995—2005年间并无增长,2005年以后才开始上升,GPI与GDP的差距越来越大;“珠江模式”虽然经济增长迅猛,但经济、社会、环境损耗突出,实现其可持续发展必须解决分配不均、交通拥堵、环境污染等问题;“温州模式”人均GPI后期与其他城市拉开差距,发展后劲不足,贫富差距突出,社会账户水平较低且增长缓慢,发展方式亟待转型;“苏南模式”虽然资源消耗较为突出,但各类损耗处于中等水平,经济增长迅猛,社会账户水平稳步提高,GPI所反映出的真实发展水平也较高,相对具有可持续发展潜力.“三大经济模式”应持续关注可持续发展的经济、环境与社会三大方面,而“珠江模式”、“温州模式”应更积极地寻求发展转型.
The birthplace of the “Pearl River Model”, “Wenzhou Model” and “Sunan Model” are the forefront of China’s economic development and assessing its sustainable development has important guiding significance for the next development of China’s economy This paper uses the real indicators of development (GPI) to evaluate the sustainable development of six typical cities in Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Wenzhou, Suzhou, Wuxi and Changzhou from 1995 to 2012 in China under the “three major economic models.” The results show that: During the study period, the GDP of six cities showed an exponential growth, but the GPI did not increase from 1995 to 2005 and began to rise after 2005, with the gap between GPI and GDP increasing. Although the “Pearl River Model” Rapid, but economic, social and environmental losses prominent, to achieve its sustainable development must address the uneven distribution, traffic congestion, environmental pollution and other issues; “Wenzhou mode ” per capita GPI gap opened up with other cities later, lack of development potential, The gap between the rich and the poor is outstanding, the social account level is low and growth is slow, and the mode of development urgently needs to be transformed. Although the resource consumption is more prominent, the various types of losses are at moderate levels, the economic growth is rapid, the social account level steadily increases, GP I reflect the true level of development is also relatively high, with a relatively sustainable development potential. “Three major economic models ” should continue to pay attention to three aspects of sustainable development of economy, environment and society, and “Pearl River mode” , “Wenzhou model” should be more actively seeking to develop and transform.