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10月份债券市场主要特点为:中债净价总指数快速冲高;企业债指数领涨;国债收益率曲线继续陡峭化下行;高等级企业债收益率曲线中端下降较快;企业债信用利差冲高回落,但不同信用等级降速不同。无论是基本面、政策面,还是资金面,均对下一阶段债券市场继续走强提供了较好的支撑,收益率曲线的进一步下行将是大概率事件,国债收益率曲线将呈陡峭化下行态势,信用利差继续收窄的趋势也已确立,风险主要源自信用债供给的增加。
The main features of the bond market in October were: the rapid rise of the total index of net debt in the debt; the rise of the corporate bond index; the yield curve of the treasury bond continued to steepen down; the mid-end of the high-grade corporate bond yield curve dropped rapidly; Poor high down, but different credit rating slow down. Both the fundamentals, the policy side and the fund side provide better support for the bond market to continue its strength in the next stage. Further downward revision of the yield curve will be a big probability event and the bond yield curve will be steep. The trend of narrowing credit spreads has also been established. The risk mainly stems from the increase of credit debt supply.