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本文将灰色理论与时序分析相结合，建立了变形体的动态模型ＧＭ＋ＡＲＭＡ，阐述了用该模型进行系统分析的方法，另从不同角度讨论了该模型的物理意义。
In this paper, the gray theory and timing analysis are combined to establish a dynamic model GM + ARMA of deformation body. The method of system analysis is expounded and the physical meaning of the model is discussed from different perspectives.