决定目前局势的真正积极的新因素是,发达国家的经济不再像80年代那样受美国的控制。这意味着,美国目前的衰退不会扩展到整个世界。从国际经济周期运动的这一特点出发,某些观察家早就预见到“英语”国家的经济复苏。无论如何,我们认为,目前整个的局势有利于复苏。一方面,国际货币基金组织预 A really positive new factor in determining the current situation is that developed countries are no longer under the control of the United States as they did in the 1980s. This means that the current U.S. recession will not extend to the entire world. Based on this trait of the international economic cycle, some observers have long foreseen the economic recovery in the “English” countries. In any case, we think the current situation is conducive to recovery. On the one hand, the International Monetary Fund pre-