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一、基本观点美国农业部不断上调美豆单产水平,美国大豆产量达到创记录水平,但这些已被市场充分消化;从当前盘面看,美盘似乎涨不动,也跌不下的感觉;我们认为美盘当前处于季节性回调的尾声,之所以有如此判断,主要基于价格自6月上旬开始回调以来,至今又达三个多月,从近十年的美豆走势特点来看,价格在7月初开始调整,在9月底调整结束;年度的走势周期规
First, the basic point of view The United States Department of Agriculture continue to raise the level of US soybean yields, the United States reached a record level of soybean production, but these have been fully digested by the market; from the current disk, the US disk seems to rise, but also fell feeling; we think US disk is currently at the end of a seasonal callback, the reason why there is such a judgment, mainly based on the price since the callback began in early June, up to now more than three months, from the past ten years the characteristics of the trend of the United States beans, the price of 7 The beginning of month adjustment, the end of September to adjust the end of the annual cycle of regulation