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粮食安全始终是关系我国国民经济发展、社会稳定和国家自立的全局性重大战略问题,政府财政支农对粮食生产具有重要意义。本文通过对1978~2008年间粮食生产和政府支农投入进行实证分析,发现支农支出、农业基本建设支出、农业科技三项费用对粮食生产具有显著的正向效应,其中支农支出与农业科技三项费用正向效应最为显著,然而,扶贫资金具有负向效应,存在以粮食产量为导向的短期化倾向。为此,应该加大农业科技投资,加强农业基本建设以及农业支出,提高粮食生产能力。
Food security has always been a major strategic issue concerning the overall national economic development, social stability and the country’s independence in our country. The government financial support for agriculture is of great significance to food production. Based on the empirical analysis of grain production and government investment in agriculture from 1978 to 2008, we find that the three expenditures of supporting agriculture, capital construction and agricultural science and technology have a significant positive effect on food production. Among them, the expenditure on supporting agriculture and agricultural science and technology The positive effect of the three costs is the most significant. However, poverty alleviation funds have a negative effect and there is a short-term tendency oriented toward grain output. To this end, we should increase investment in agricultural science and technology, strengthen agricultural infrastructure and agricultural expenditures, and increase grain production capacity.