Model Confidence Bounds for Variable Selection

来源 :2017第十一届临床医学研究中的统计方法学术研讨会 | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:renbaoshouxian
下载到本地 , 更方便阅读
声明 : 本文档内容版权归属内容提供方 , 如果您对本文有版权争议 , 可与客服联系进行内容授权或下架
论文部分内容阅读
  In this article,we introduce the concept of model confidence bounds (MCB) for variable selection in the context of nested models.Similarly to the endpoints in the familiar confidence interval for parameter estimation,the MCB identifies two nested models (upper and lower confidence bound models) containing the true model at a given level of confidence.Instead of trusting a single selected model obtained from a given model selection method,the MCB proposes a group of nested models as candidates and the MCBs width and composition enable the practitioner to assess the overall model selection uncertainty.A new graphical tool - the model uncertainty curve (MUC)— is introduced to visualize the variability of model selection and to compare different model selection procedures.The MCB methodology is implemented by a fast bootstrap algorithm that is shown to yield the correct asymptotic coverage under rather general conditions.Our Monte Carlo simulations and a real data example confirm the validity and illustrate the advantages of the proposed method.
其他文献
2016年中国居民膳食指南明确水、谷薯类、蔬菜、水果、畜禽类、奶制品、油盐的摄入量,对中国居民的健康饮食给出了明确指标.正常人要注意各种营养素的合理补充,缺少和超出最大
随着肿瘤疾病的不断增多,化放疗成为治疗各类肿瘤疾病的主要手段.但是,临床上应用化放疗的患者有相当大的比例会出现骨髓抑制,极大地限制了肿瘤疾病的相关治疗.中医药膳在治
药膳是在中医药理论指导下,利用食材本身或者在食材中加入特定的中药材,使之具有调整人体脏腑阴阳气血生理机能以及色、香、味、型特点,适用于特定人群的食品,包括菜肴、汤品
前列腺癌是泌尿系统中发病率最高的肿瘤,近年来,前列腺癌的发病率在中国呈逐年上升趋势.有研究表明番茄和其他含番茄红素的食物对预防前列腺癌和减缓其发展进程有效.本文就番
糖尿病是一组以慢性血糖水平增高为特征的代谢疾病群,久病则可引起多系统损害,导致眼、肾、神经、心、血管等组织的慢性进行性病变,其发病率、致残致死率极高.糖尿病属于中医
亚健康状态是21世纪人类健康的大敌,已成为国内外医学界日渐重视的研究热点.中医药在调治亚健康方面有其不可替代的优势,笔者从中医学角度探讨了亚健康状态的病因病机,并列举
  Ultrahigh-dimensional variable screening plays an increasingly important part in diverse scientific areas and statistical researches.This paper mainly propo
目的:探索TAC化疗方案和CAF化疗方案治疗乳腺癌的真实疗效. 方法:采用回顾性队列研究的方法选择乳腺癌患者800例,其中接受CAF者(CAF组)513例,接受TAC者(TCA组)287例,分别
  Objective:Tuberculosis (TB) is still one of the most serious infectious diseases in mainland China,ranking the second place only behind the virus hepatitis.
  This paper studies a family of M-estimators whose objective functions are formulated as U-processes and may be discontinuous.Notable examples in this family