Anthropogenic Triggering of Large Earthquakes

来源 :2014年中国地球科学联合学术年会 | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:qncy1235i
下载到本地 , 更方便阅读
声明 : 本文档内容版权归属内容提供方 , 如果您对本文有版权争议 , 可与客服联系进行内容授权或下架
论文部分内容阅读
  Anthropogenic activities like oil and gas production or geothermal field exploitation are known to induce small magnitude earthquakes (usually M<3.0),which generally constitute more a nuisance than a real danger and which can be effectively controlled by close monitoring1,2.This type of induced seismicity is often confused with another much more dangerous type of induced seismicity – large event triggering (M>5.5) on nearby active tectonic faults3,4 – which has been so far mostly associated with the impoundment of artificial water reservoirs.In this case,the anthropogenic activities provide the small – but decisive - contribution that triggers the occurrence of destructive (or catastrophic) earthquakes which would naturally happen,but only decades (or more) later.We analyze the physical mechanism of the anthropogenic triggering of large earthquakes on active faults.We study the problem relying on experimental phenomenology,i.e.5,6 a) that sizable earthquakes occur only on active tectonic faults,b) that crustal stress values are those measured in situ and,on active faults,comply to the values of the stress drop measured for real earthquakes c) that the static friction coefficients are those measured on faults (and not in the laboratory or in bulk rock),d) that the effective stress values for triggering earthquakes are those inferred for real earthquakes.The conditions for earthquake nucleation are derived as a time-dependent solution of the Tresca-Von Mises criterion,while the time evolution of the process is derived from the equations of poroelasticity.Consistent with the issue that can be triggered only faults for which a drained path exists with the triggering source7,we find that the activation of active tectonic faults requires fluid overpressures smaller than 0.1 MPa.These compare with ambient stresses of the order of 300 Mpa and with deviatoric stresses of the order of 1-10 Mpa,yielding that the crust is always in a state close to failure5.Hence,earthquakes can be triggered by very small fluid overpressures,with normal and lateral slip fault mechanisms requiring a feather less than compressive ones (figure 1).The time dependent solution yields that fluids propagate as slow pressure waves along patterns operating in a drained condition (figure 2).In conclusion,we find that injecting fluids in the subsoil with the pressures in the practice of oil and gas exploration or storage may trigger destructive earthquakes on active tectonic faults within a few tens of kilometers.This makes earthquakes occur earlier – and never later – by a potentially substantial amount of time,and since neither the existence of a drained path nor the degree of maturity of faults are known,a safe defense requires to avoid anthropogenic activities in the vicinity of active faults.Relying on close monitoring and fast shut-off protocol is illusory,since the diffusion of crustal fluids has inherent time delays up to several years and any reaction to the first “precursors” is bound to be too late.
其他文献
本文通过对研究区早古生代前陆盆地三条剖面的沉积物进行地球化学研究,分析前陆盆地的源区特征及时空演化格局,介绍了源区的风化特征及沉积循环作用,阐述了物源区主要岩石类型特征,以及物源的时空演化特征。
本文发展了一种从球坐标系到笛卡尔坐标系的H-W方法,来反演浅层地壳中的速度分布.我们利用走时曲线斜率的直接积分反演随深度变化的一维速度结构.为避免积分的不稳定性,采用局部勒让德多项式逼近法得到一条单调连续的走时曲线.
为了探究陆陆相互碰撞过程中不同块体之间的接触关系及缝合带边界的结构形态,我们跨东昆仑造山带布设了北东方向宽频带流动台站观测剖面,共22 个记录仪,台间距10~15km,数据记录时间从2010年11 月至2011 年6 月.剖面横跨上述两条重要缝合带和三个块体.远震P波接收函数的结果表明,柴达木-东昆仑地体具有偏低的Vp/Vs,松潘-甘孜地体的Vp/Vs则相对较高,剖面自北往南莫霍面逐渐增加,支持青
SRME适用于压制长周期的海底相关多次波,其最大优势在于预测过程不需要知道地下介质信息,而且是同时估计出所有表面相关的多次波,DWD适用于压制短周期的海底相关多次波,主要根据白相关获得海底相关多次波模型。在浅海区,采用DWD+SRME方法来压制浅水多次波,其效果比常规SRME方法要好。
Vere-Jones branching crack model was developed in 1970s.In this model,the earthquake source is regarded as the result from the total population of crack elements in a critical or near-critical branchi
汤加克马德克俯冲带是一直是全球板块研究的热点区域,该地区Wadati-Benioff带深震分布明显、震源机制解丰富.本研究中,将反演应力场的网格搜索法应用于汤加克马德克Wadati-Benioff带深部应力场研究,结果表明:第一,得到的汤加克马德克Wadati-Benioff带的走向约为N20°E,倾角约为50°。第二,浅部(100-300km),压轴方位变化较强烈,在23°N以北,压轴方位大致为
通过对页岩油气领域所面临的关键难题的梳理和分析,提出要认识页岩油气的成藏机理、指导甜点区的选定及有效开发需要首先认识以下三方面的关键科学问题(1,2,3)和两方面的关键技术问题(4,5):1)致密油气的可流动性及其表征,2)致密岩石的成储机理,3)致密油气的赋存机理和赋存状态,4)致密岩石无机非均质性的评价和预测,5)致密岩石有机非均质性的评价和预测。初步的探究表明,在纳米材料固-流吸附剂定量表征
会议
The solid inner core of the Earth consists of heavy minerals Fe and Ni with a fraction of light elements such as O,S,Si.During the inner core formation,these light elements escape and rise up through
会议
The Tianshan orogenic belt is one of the youngest and highest inland orogenic belts in the world.In order to investigate the detailed structure of the crust and uppermost mantle of the eastern Tiansha
Combining the newly collected teleseismic body waves recorded by Cuoqin-Dangxiong passive seismic array of 59 broadband stations with waveforms from several previous temporary local seismic arrays of
会议