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产业结构服务化的拐点是指产业结构由工业型经济向服务型经济演进的临界点和关节点,是工业化中后期社会经济发展的重要转折点。根据美国和日本等发达国家的相关数据,产业结构服务化的拐点一般发生在人均GDP现价3000美元、城市化率50%左右的时候。据此预测,江西省将于2014—2015年达到这一拐点,并于2020年左右基本完成产业结构向以服务经济为主转变。如何策应服务化拐点的来临蕴涵着深刻的政策涵义。
The inflection point of service-oriented industrial structure refers to the critical point and juncture of the industrial structure from an industrial-based economy to a service-oriented economy and an important turning point in the social-economic development in the mid-and-late industrialization. According to the data from developed countries such as the United States and Japan, the turning point of the service-oriented industrial structure generally occurs when the per capita GDP is at a current price of 3,000 U.S. dollars and the urbanization rate is about 50%. Based on this forecast, Jiangxi Province will reach this inflection point in 2014-2015 and basically complete the transformation of its industrial structure towards service economy by 2020. How to deal with the advent of service inflection point implies profound policy implications.