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依据2003—2012年省级面板数据,运用面板分析方法对30个省(区、市)的经济增长、外商直接投资和环境污染之间的关系进行实证分析。研究表明,经济增长、外商直接投资和环境污染之间存在着长期协整关系,中国存在N形的EKC曲线,随着经济发展,环境会经历恶化、改善和最终依然恶化的过程;外商直接投资提高了我国的废水处理能力,但是总体来说还是使我国环境进一步恶化;产业结构分析发现偏重第二产业的经济结构会对环境产生负面影响。建议政府转变治污思路,提高外资引入的质量和标准,引导产业结构转变,大力发展第三产业,促进清洁能源和循环经济的发展,改变经济增长方式。
Based on the provincial panel data from 2003 to 2012, panel analysis is used to analyze the relationship between economic growth, foreign direct investment and environmental pollution in 30 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities). The research shows that there is a long-term cointegration relationship between economic growth, foreign direct investment and environmental pollution. There is an N-shaped EKC curve in China. As the economy develops, the environment will experience deterioration, improvement and eventually deterioration. Foreign direct investment Improve our wastewater treatment capacity, but in general still make our environment further deterioration; industrial structure analysis found that emphasis on secondary economic structure will have a negative impact on the environment. It is suggested that the government change the idea of pollution control, raise the quality and standards of foreign investment introduction, guide the transformation of industrial structure, vigorously develop the tertiary industry, promote the development of clean energy and circular economy, and change the mode of economic growth.