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【目的】进一步了解丽水气象环境同疾病特别是婴幼儿疾病的关系。【方法】运用统计和回归方法,将丽水市人民医院病例和当地气象资料作对比,并建立逐日发病人数的预报模型。【结果】夏季高温开始阶段、春季冷暖交替阶段和秋末冷空气开始阶段最容易引发小儿疾病;冷空气过程、连续高温的开始、连阴雨天气能引发大规模疾病;模型拟合效果冬季>秋季>春季,夏季相关性差。【结论】疾病的高发期往往与天气变化同步,气象与疾病密切相关。
【Objective】 To further understand the relationship between the Lishui meteorological environment and diseases, especially infants and young children’s diseases. 【Method】 By means of statistics and regression, the cases of Lishui People’s Hospital were compared with the local meteorological data, and the forecasting model of daily incidence was established. 【Result】 The results showed that pediatric diseases were most likely to be caused by the onset of summer high temperature, the alternation of warm and cold cycles in spring and the beginning of cold air in late autumn. The onset of cold air process and continuous high temperature began to lead to large-scale disease in rainy and rainy days. Poor summer relevance. 【Conclusion】 The high incidence of the disease is often synchronized with the weather changes, and the weather is closely related to the disease.