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技术演化因其在国家、企业战略管理中具有重要地位而为世界主要国家所重视,各国投入巨大的人力物力开展研究。首先探究技术演化概念的产生和发展,之后系统梳理技术演化方法的发展脉络和各个阶段的主要特点,并对几种有代表性的技术演化研究方法如文献计量方法、TRIZ法、文本挖掘法、德尔菲法等的主要研究内容和发展状况进行介绍。最后,在对技术演化研究方法体系进行总结的基础上,探讨现代技术发展新形势的挑战和应对策略。
Because of its important position in the country and strategic management of enterprises, technological evolution has been valued by major countries in the world. All countries have invested enormous manpower and resources in conducting research. Firstly, it explores the emergence and development of the concept of technological evolution. Then, it systematically reviews the evolution of technological evolution and the main characteristics of each stage. Several representative methods of technological evolution such as document measurement, TRIZ, text mining, Delphi method such as the main research content and development status are introduced. Finally, on the basis of summarizing the methodology of technological evolution research, this paper discusses the challenges and countermeasures of the new situation of the development of modern technology.