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作为本轮调控的重点行业,明年房地产业仍将稳中微调。 “尽管房地产业正在向预期调控 目标迈进,但明年的情况还是很令人 担忧”,谈及明年房地产形势,中国 社会科学院城市与房地产经济研究室 倪鹏飞博士这样告诉《瞭望新闻周 刊》。 原因有三:一是随着经济形势 好转,如果调控出现局部和阶段性 放松,前几个月被动回落的投资有 可能大幅反弹;二是明年是“十一 五”规划开局之年,从以往经验看, 投资增势会比较强劲;三是一些地 方经济对房地产倚重太深,一旦经 济有所下滑,立即想到房地产业的 拉动作用。
As a key industry in the current round of regulation and control, the real estate industry will still be fine-tuned next year. “Although the real estate industry is moving toward the expected regulatory goal, the situation will be very worrying next year.” Turning to the real estate situation next year, Dr. Ni Pengfei of the Urban and Real Estate Economic Research Institute of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences told Lookout Newsweek. There are three reasons for this: First, as the economic situation improves, if there is a partial and phased relaxation of regulation and control, there may be a substantial rebound in investment in the passive return in previous months. Second, from next year, the first year of the 11th Five- Third, some local economies rely heavily on real estate. Once the economy declines, they immediately think of the stimulating effect of the real estate industry.