模型和分析固然重要,但足球与经济一样,经常会有意外出现,二者都受到基本面、情绪和最重要的人为因素的共同影响以下是共同适用于经济和足球的三大主题:一是足球主教练对于球队的表现起着至关重要的作用,决策者在经济体中也是如此。二者可以成就或阻碍表现,随着赛程的进展或经济周期的变化,需要作出调整和改变。二是主教练和政府经常更迭,新官上任三把火可在短期内照耀球队或经济体,但随着火焰的熄灭,重心迅速转向。 Models and analysis are important, but football, as often as economy, happens unexpectedly and both are influenced by fundamentals, emotions and the most important human factors. There are three major themes that are common to both economy and football: Football managers play a crucial role in the team’s performance, and policymakers are also in the economy. Both can accomplish or hinder performance, and adjustments and changes are required as the schedule progresses or the business cycle changes. Second, the coach and the government often change. The three newly appointed officers can shine on the team or the economy in a short period of time. But as the flame goes out, the focus shifts rapidly.