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广东省机械工业1988年工业总产值达51.26亿元,比1980年翻了2.2番,提前12年达到党的十二大提出的到本世纪末翻两番的战略目标.为了探索其发展的一般规律,把握行业未来的发展趋势,笔者采集了十五年来广东省机械工业的主要经济指标,应用了经济计量模型和电子计算机等现代化技术手段,对其进行计算、处理和分析,希冀能为宏观控制和领导决策提供定量的依据.一、模型选择机械行业是我省国民经济系统中的功能子系统.任一经济系统结构,均可通过建立产出
Guangdong’s machinery industry had a total industrial output value of 5.126 billion yuan in 1988, which was 2.2 times more than in 1980. It reached the strategic goal set by the Party’s 12th National Congress to quadruple by the end of this century 12 years in advance. To explore the general laws of its development. In order to grasp the future development trend of the industry, the author has collected the main economic indicators of Guangdong’s machinery industry in the past 15 years, applied the econometric models and electronic computers and other modern technical means to calculate, process, and analyze them, and hopes to provide macro control. And provide quantitative basis for leadership decisions. First, the model selection machinery industry is a functional subsystem in our province’s national economic system. Any economic system structure can be established through output