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文章运用结构方程模型(SEM)潜在变量的路径分析技术,研究集体林改背景下农户林业收入的影响因素及其作用机理。结果表明:新一轮集体林改成效显著,林地资源不仅对农户有直接的收入效应,而且通过影响农户的林业经营投入行为影响农户林业收入;但农户的林业生产经营还处于投入阶段,当前林业生产还不能得到预期合理的回报,且收益率相对不高,林区的基础设施建设对农户的林业生产经营活动具有挤出效应,林业生产经营投入动力不足。针对问题提出应巩固集体林权制度改革成果、升林业经营发展水平、加大对林业生产经营的资金支持、提高林业生产整体效益等对策建议。
In this paper, we use the path analysis of latent variables in Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) to study the influencing factors and the mechanism of farmers’ forestry income under the background of collective forest reform. The results show that the new round of collective forest reform has achieved remarkable success. The forestland resources not only have direct income effect on farmers, but also affect farmers ’forestry income through influencing farmers’ forest management investment behavior. However, the forestry production and management of farmers is still in the investment stage, Production can not get the expected reasonable return, and the rate of return is relatively low. The infrastructure construction in the forest area has a crowding-out effect on the forestry production and operation activities of the farmers, and the forestry production and operation investment is not enough. In response to the issue, we should consolidate the achievements of the reform of collective forest rights system, promote the development of forestry management, increase financial support for forestry production and management, and improve the overall efficiency of forestry production.