据《国际经 贸消息》署名文 章分析:由于世 界经济不确定性因素的增加,对未来形势的预测难度加大。比较悲观的观点认为,明年东亚地区(含日本)经济形势好转的可能性很小,甚至可能进一步恶化;美国可能在经济减速基础上陷入经济低速增长或衰退;俄金融形势仍将威胁世界经济;欧元启动后,其对经济的影响难以确定,短期内对国际金 According to “International Economic and Trade News” signature article analysis: As the world economic uncertainty increases, the prediction of the future situation more difficult. The pessimistic view is that next year the economic situation in East Asia (including Japan) is unlikely to improve and may even worsen. The United States may fall into a slow-speed economic growth or recession on the basis of economic slowdown. The financial situation in Russia will still threaten the world economy. After the start of the euro, its economic impact is difficult to determine the short-term international gold