采用了基于宏观经济指标—— GDP(国内生产总值 )的地震损失预测方法对中亚地区地震损失作出评估。利用易得、合理可行的人口和 GDP分布资料得到了中亚地区未来 50年地震损失分布图。分析表明 :中亚部分地区期望的震灾程度远远高于全球的平均震灾程度 ,是受地震灾害影响较为严重的地区之一。 A seismic loss prediction method based on macroeconomic indicators, GDP (gross domestic product), was used to assess earthquake losses in Central Asia. Using the data of readily available, reasonable and feasible population and GDP distribution, the distribution map of earthquake losses in Central Asia for the next 50 years is obtained. The analysis shows that the expected degree of earthquakes in some parts of Central Asia is much higher than the average degree of earthquakes in the world and is one of the regions severely affected by the earthquake disasters.