情报调研贯串情报工作始终.情报调研的逻辑程序为:但是,情报调研的项目应该怎样确定?情报调研的各个阶段应该怎样划分?各个阶段的具体目标是什么?情报调研的成果又怎样评价?……这一切自然可以由情报工作者根据项目要求作出主观判断.但是,如果我们在情报调研的过程中引入现代科学方法,则有利于克服以往情报调研工作思想方法的主观性、表面性和片面性,将使情报调研工作建立在现代科学方法的基础之上。特尔斐法就是这样一种科学方法。特尔斐法在情报调研中的作用情报调研往往涉及社会、经济、科技诸领域,需要各方面专家从战略到战术、从宏观到微观、从全局到局部、从经济价值到社 Intelligence research runs through the intelligence work. Intelligence research logic program: But how to determine the project of intelligence research? Information research should be divided into stages? What are the specific objectives of each stage? And how to evaluate the results of intelligence research? ... ... All this can be subjectively judged by intelligence workers according to the requirements of the project.However, if we introduce modern scientific methods in the process of intelligence research, it will help to overcome the subjectivity, surface and one-sidedness of previous methods of intelligence research work, The intelligence research will build on the foundations of modern scientific methods. Delphi method is such a scientific method. The role of Delphi law in intelligence research Intelligence research often involves social, economic, scientific and technological fields, requiring experts from all aspects of strategy to tactics, from macro to micro, from the overall situation to the local, from economic value to society