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2003年10月,美国高盛投资公司发表了一份在国际上引起很大反响的研究报告,题为《BRICs之梦:通往2050年之路》。报告预测了巴西、俄罗斯、印度、中国等四个发展中大国的发展前景,认为四国经济的高速增长将持续到2050年左右,其经济总量2025年能达到美、日、德、英、法、意等“G6”集团的一半;2045年将超过“G6”集团。姑不论这一预测是否准确,仅就该报告所揭示的“BRICs现象”就值得学界认真加以探讨。该报告反映了什么?又意味着什么?如何看待四国的发展及其相互关系?带着这些问题,本期我们邀请中国现代国际关系研究院的六位专家举行对谈,期望能引起您的高度重视,并思考就这一现象作出更进一步的经济政治学解释。
In October 2003, the United States Goldman Sachs Investment Company published a study that has aroused great repercussions in the world entitled “The Dream of BRICs: The Road to 2050”. The report predicts the development prospects of the four developing countries such as Brazil, Russia, India and China. The report predicts that the rapid economic growth of the four countries will continue until around 2050, and its total economy will reach the levels of the United States, Japan, Germany, Britain and France in 2025 , Italy, “G6” half of the group; 2045 will be more than “G6” group. Regardless of whether this prediction is accurate, it is only for the academic community to seriously discuss the “BRICs phenomenon” revealed in this report. What does this report reflect and what does it mean? How do we view the development of the four countries and their interrelationships? With these questions, we invite six experts from the China Institute of Contemporary International Relations to hold discussions in the hope that this will give you a high degree of Attention and thinking of this phenomenon to make further economic and political interpretation.