“中国龙”与“印度象”在诸多领域存在竞争关系,“龙象之争”渗透到两国发展的各个环节,而经贸领域的摩擦与争端是其中的典型事例。作者以经济学中“保护代售”模型为理论基础,适用了1999~2009年案件层面的数据,实证分析了印度对华反倾销税裁定的影响因素,揭示中印经济冲突的微观形成机制。进一步发现,印度当局裁定反倾销税率时,明显受国内利益集团政治势力的影响, The “Chinese Dragon” and the “India Elephant” have a competitive relationship in many fields, and the “Dragon Battle” has penetrated into all aspects of the development of the two countries. The frictions and disputes in the economic and trade fields are typical examples. Based on the theory of “protected sales” model in economics, the author applies the case-level data from 1999 to 2009, empirically analyzes the influencing factors of India’s anti-dumping duties ruling in China and reveals the microcosmic formation mechanism of China-India economic conflicts. . It was further found that when the Indian authorities ruled on the anti-dumping tax rate, they were obviously affected by the political forces of the domestic interest groups.