自美国经济陷入衰退以来,很多学者从不同角度对美国经济前景进行了分析。目前大致有三种判断:即V型、U型和L型走势。但这些研究绝大多数采用西方经济学的研究方法。本文从马克思主义经济学的视角,通过对美国历史数据分析,并与20世纪90年代日本经济陷入长期衰退时的情况进行比较,结论是美国经济呈U型走势的可能性很小,也不大可能呈现L型走势。 Since the U.S. economy plunged into recession, many scholars have analyzed the U.S. economic prospects from different perspectives. At present, there are roughly three kinds of judgments: that is, V-type, U-type and L-type trend. However, the vast majority of these studies use Western economics research methods. From the perspective of Marxist economics, through the analysis of the historical data of the United States and the comparison with the situation when the Japanese economy plunged into a long-term recession in the 1990s, the conclusion is that the U.S. economy is unlikely to have a U-shaped trend May show L-shaped trend.