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英国咨询公司Cropnosis(原Wood MacKenzieCrop Protection)预测,在十年内,全球农药市场持平,而农业生物技术将继续迅速扩大。GM种子的销售预计从2002年的35.56亿美元增加到2007年的57.76亿美元,2002～2010年间,年增长率为8.2%。相反,农药市场可能每年收缩0.1%。在此期间,农药与GM种子合并的销售额年增长率为1.2%。 Cropnosis对2007年GM种子销售的预计是基于当前种植的主要GM作物:大豆、玉米、棉花和木薯的扩大。其它GM作物如水稻、小麦和甜菜的引入也是可能的,但预计在短期内对市场总值不会有重要影响。在未来几年中,北美将仍是GM作物最大的市场,但拉美和亚洲将得到增加的份额。
Cropnosis (formerly Wood MacKenzieCrop Protection), a British consultancy, predicts that within a decade, the global pesticide market will be flat and agricultural biotechnology will continue to expand rapidly. Sales of GM seeds are expected to increase from 3.556 billion U.S. dollars in 2002 to 5.776 billion U.S. dollars in 2007, an annual growth rate of 8.2% between 2002 and 2010. In contrast, the pesticide market may contract by 0.1% per year. During this period, sales of pesticides combined with GM seeds increased at an annual rate of 1.2%. Cropnosis’s forecast of 2007 GM seed sales is based on the current GM crops grown: the expansion of soybeans, corn, cotton and cassava. The introduction of other GM crops such as rice, wheat and sugar beet is also possible, but is expected to have no significant impact on the market value in the short term. In the coming years, North America will remain the largest market for GM crops, but Latin America and Asia will gain an increased share.