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介绍了近年来国内外海气耦合环流模式的研究、发展趋势 ,对不同模式的耦合技术及其预报试验进行了综合分析 ,从 ENSO预测与耦合环流模式的组成分类、模式的气候漂移及其处理技术 (耦合方案 )的特点、模式的季节、年际、年代际预报能力等方面评述了当前海气耦合环流模式的研究进展和影响耦合模式预报能力的有关问题 ,指出目前发展海气耦合模式的难点所在 ,并就我国现状提出了进行针对性研究的具体想法。
This paper introduces the research and development trend of ocean-atmosphere coupled circulation modes both at home and abroad in recent years, and makes a comprehensive analysis of the coupling modes of different modes and their prediction experiments. From the classification of ENSO prediction and coupled circulation modes, the model of climate drift and its processing techniques (Coupling scheme), seasonal, interannual and interdecadal forecasting ability of the model, the current research progress on the coupled atmospheric circulation model and the related problems affecting the ability of the coupled model prediction are reviewed. The difficulties in developing the coupled model of the sea-air current are pointed out Where they are, and put forward specific ideas on conducting targeted research on the current situation in our country.