论文部分内容阅读
市场调研公司iSuppli于今年6月16日发表了一份报告指出,1965年出现的摩尔定律在20nm～18nm工艺之间仍然有效,但2014年达到18nm之后将很可能失效。报告中指出,摩尔定律的失效原因并不在于工艺的微细化无法继续,而是由于芯片制造成本过高,在产品生命周期内无法收回成本。而且,消费者也不需要速度如此之快的芯片,即芯片在实用性上已达到极限。无论如何,这在业界引发了一番热论。《日经电子》1000期纪念专辑的首篇文章就是《回望摩尔定律40年》。文章详尽介绍了摩尔定律的发展历史,并进行了展望,很有助于我们对摩尔定律的认知和思辨。因此,本期特刊载这篇文章与读者共享。
Market research firm iSuppli released a report on June 16 this year that the 1965 Moore’s Law is still valid between 20nm and 18nm, but will likely expire in 2014 when it reaches 18nm. The report pointed out that the reason for the failure of Moore’s Law is not that the process of miniaturization can not continue, but because of the high cost of manufacturing chips, can not recover the cost of the product life cycle. Moreover, consumers do not need the chip so fast that the chip has reached the limit of practicability. In any case, this has caused some heat in the industry. “Nikkei Electronics” 1000 Memorial album’s first article is “look back on Moore’s Law for 40 years.” The article gives a detailed introduction to the history of Moore’s Law and makes a prospect. It is very helpful to our understanding and speculation of Moore’s Law. Therefore, this issue contains this article and readers to share.