美国攻打伊拉克之战如箭在弦。股市方面,港股刚刚跌至四个月来的低位。香港恒生指数昨天收报9180.46,而美国道琼斯指数则报7985.18。港股虽然还未跌至“911”事件发生后所见的低位,但现在市场弥漫着一遍悲观情绪,大家都觉得股市再试新低好象是指日可待的事。究竟港股往后的走势会如何?笔者有以下的分析。短线而言,港股的走势必定受到美伊紧张的局势所影响。有一个问题是所有人都会问:“美伊会不会开战?” The U.S. attack on Iraq is in full swing. In the stock market, Hong Kong stocks have just dropped to a four-month low. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index closed at 9180.46 yesterday, while the U.S. Dow Jones index was at 7985.18. Although Hong Kong stocks have not yet dropped to the low levels seen after the “911” incident, the markets are now feeling pessimistic. Everyone feels that it may be just the right time for the stock market to test its new low again. After all, how the future trend of Hong Kong stocks? I have the following analysis. In the short term, the trend of Hong Kong stocks must be affected by the tense situation in the U.S. and Iraq. One problem is that everyone will ask: “Will the United States and Iraq war?”