中国经济长期看好的基本面没有改变。在“十三五”开局之年,中国经济增速便出现了一定的下行压力,这种压力主要来自三个方面:一是在经历较快的经济发展之后,中国大部分产业的供给需求实现均衡,商品供应量有所饱和,中国产业正处于转型的过程之中,发展进入瓶颈阶段;二是过剩产能、不良贷款、地方债务等一些传统问题尚未解决;三是世界经济前景依然非常不明朗,世界上大部分国家、地区的经济暂时进入了萧条、见底、探索发展时期。经济周期性变动是自然的过程,中国经济发展在经历此前的高速发展之后进入低谷期,也是经济规律的体 The long-term bullish fundamentals of China’s economy have not changed. In the first year of “13th Five-Year Plan”, there will be some downward pressure on China’s economic growth. This kind of pressure comes mainly from three aspects. First, after experiencing a rapid economic development, the supply of most of China’s industries The demand is balanced and the supply of goods is saturated. The Chinese industry is in the process of transformation and the development has entered the bottleneck stage. Second, some traditional problems such as excess capacity, bad loans and local debts have not yet been solved. Third, the world economic outlook is still very poor It is not clear that the economy of most countries and regions in the world has temporarily entered a depression, bottomed out and explored the period of development. The cyclical changes in the economy are natural processes. After China’s economic development experienced the rapid development of the previous period, it entered a trough and is also the economic law.