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以耗竭性资源经济理论为基础,推导出了天然气开采的耗竭性定价理论模型,同时对天然气市场定价做出一个经验估计。利用数理经济方法进行推导可知:天然气市场定价主要与资源储量、市场需求弹性、市场利率以及其可开采的时间长度相关。利用中国天然气产业的统计数据对模型参数进行经验估计,检验结果表明:①天然气市场需求价格缺乏弹性;②价格与资源储量和市场利率呈反向变动关系,而与资源的设计开采能力呈现正向变动关系。虽然所建立的定价模型是在前人相关成果基础上的深入研究,但却是首次建立了耗竭性资源开采初始定价的理论模型。当然,因样本数据的选取和其他因素的影响,其经验估计结果只能作为企业定价的理论参考,实践中,其定价参数还有待进一步的检验。
Based on the theory of exhaustible resource economy, a theoretical model of depletion pricing for natural gas exploitation is deduced, and an empirical estimate of the pricing of natural gas market is made. The use of mathematical and economic methods to derive shows that: the natural gas market pricing and resource reserves, market demand elasticity, market interest rates and the length of time they can be mining related. Using the statistical data of China’s natural gas industry to estimate the model parameters empirically, the test results show that: (1) the demand price of natural gas is not flexible; (2) the price and resource reserves and the market interest rate are adversely fluctuating while the design and mining resources are in a positive Change the relationship. Although the established pricing model is based on the predecessors’ related research results, it is the first time to set up a theoretical model of the initial pricing of depleted resources exploitation. Of course, due to the selection of sample data and other factors, the empirical estimation can only serve as a theoretical reference for the pricing of enterprises. In practice, its pricing parameters have yet to be further tested.