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随着金融海啸在全球范围内的进一步爆发.铜价暴跌逼近国内部分铜冶炼厂生产成本.企业停产.减产的消息不断传出。根据研究机构安泰科估计,由于精铜生产企业减产而造成的国内产量损失大概为27万吨。一直以来中国铜消费“买跌不买涨”的习惯,使得中国买盘在铜价低位时有所增加。再考虑到目前上海交易所不到2万吨的库存仍处于历史的最低水平,所以在目前这种低铜价低库存的情况下.中国重新建库机会增加。但是从长远来看.2009年铜价难乐观。
As the financial tsunami broke out on a global scale, the price of copper plunged close to the production cost of some copper smelters in China and the enterprises stopped production. According to research firm Antaike, the domestic production loss due to the declining production of refined copper producers is about 270,000 tons. Chinese copper consumption has always been the “buy or not buy up” habit, making the Chinese buying in copper prices have increased. Taking into consideration that at present, less than 20,000 tons of stock in the Shanghai Stock Exchange is still at its lowest level in history, so with the current low inventories of low copper and copper, opportunities for rebuilding warehouses in China will increase. However, in the long run, the price of copper is not optimistic in 2009.