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CO2排放权交易是温室气体减排的主要机制之一。一些发达国家和地区已经或即将实施CO2排放权交易。在此背景下,根据排放权交易市场CO2排放配额价格变化的特点,采用了类似于随机生产模拟的方法进行估计。在假设所研究的发电公司能够估计其竞争对手报价策略的概率分布的前提下,构造了发电公司最优报价策略的机会约束规划模型并给出了求解方法。以一个有6个发电公司参与的电力市场为例对所提出的模型和方法进行了验证,并与无CO2排放权交易情况下的结果进行了对比。
CO2 emissions trading is one of the main mechanisms for reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Some developed countries and regions have been or will soon implement the CO2 emissions trading. In this context, based on the characteristics of the change in the quota price of CO2 emissions in the ETS, a method similar to that of stochastic production simulation is used for estimation. Under the premise that the power generation company under study can estimate the probability distribution of its competitor bidding strategy, the opportunistic constrained programming model of the optimal bidding strategy of power generation company is constructed and the solution method is given. The proposed model and method are validated by an example of a power market involving 6 power generation companies, and compared with the results of the case without CO2 emission trading.