论文部分内容阅读
技术进步是弥补不可再生资源耗竭的长期决定因素之一。研究基于资源跨期开采模型,首先分析技术进步分别从调整资源可采储量、提升资源利用效率、促进资源替代以及降低资源开采成本等途径对资源最优开采路径的影响,然后借助案例对各类技术进步影响途径的分析结果进行了模拟验证。结论表明,除了增加资源可采储量之外,不存在某类的技术进步可以既增加社会福利又有利于资源的可持续利用,而任何技术进步都需要相应的政策措施来引导和约束,最后在结论基础上提出政策参考建议。
Technological progress is one of the long-term determinants of depletion of non-renewable resources. Based on the model of resource intertemporal mining, the paper first analyzes the impact of technological progress on optimal mining route from adjusting resources recoverable reserves, improving resource utilization efficiency, promoting resource replacement and reducing resource extraction cost. Based on the case studies, The technical analysis of the impact of the way the results of the simulation. The conclusion shows that in addition to increasing the recoverable reserves of resources, there is no certain kind of technological progress that can not only increase social welfare but also promote the sustainable use of resources, and any technological progress requires corresponding policy measures to guide and constrain the Conclusion based on the proposed policy reference.