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期待可能性理论发起于德国兴盛于日本,是大陆法系犯罪构成理论的重要组成部分,其理论博大精深,期待可能性理论以人的自由意志为其哲学基础,更加关注人性,在刑罚裁量与个案化的适用上更加灵活与富有弹性。本文将从期待可能性的内涵剖析入手,着重分析期待可能性理论的性质、判断标准,继而深入探讨期待可能性所追求的价值选择,最后回归我国司法实践,从引入期待可能性理论的必要性、文化支持为起点,尝试解决期待可能性理论在我国现行刑法体系之中的地位问题以及如何在立法与司法中更好地吸收与表达这一思想。
Anticipating the Possibility The theory originated in Germany prospered in Japan is an important part of the criminal constitution theory in the civil law system of China. Its theory is extensive and profound. It is probable that the theory of possibility regards the human free will as its philosophical basis, pays more attention to human nature, The application of more flexible and flexible. Based on the analysis of the connotation of the possibility of expectation, this article focuses on analyzing the nature and criterion of the theory of expectation possibility, and then discusses in depth the value choice pursued by the possibility of expectation. Finally, it returns to the judicial practice of our country, and from the necessity of introducing the expectation possibility theory , Cultural support as a starting point to try to solve the problem of the possibility of expectation in our current criminal law system and how to better absorb and express this idea in legislation and judicature.