论文部分内容阅读
本文在其他学者研究隐性失业的基础上得出:总失业率(登记失业率与隐性失业率之和)与经济增长率存在着一个稳定的奥肯关系,即由于宏观调控以来一直保持较高的经济增长率,我国的总失业率实际上在以较高的速度下降。由于总失业率与经济增长率这种稳定的关系,因此总失业率可以做为一个内生变量进入笔者根据泰勒模型改造的宏观调控模型。本文暗示的政策建议是:保持较高的经济增长率会使隐性失业率迅速下降到一个临界值,之后才会使登记失业率下降。
Based on other scholars’ research on hidden unemployment, this article concludes that there is a stable Okun relationship between the total unemployment rate (the sum of the registered unemployment rate and the hidden unemployment rate) and the economic growth rate, that is, since the macro-control has been maintained With high economic growth rates, the total unemployment rate in our country is actually declining at a relatively high rate. Due to the stable relationship between the total unemployment rate and the economic growth rate, the total unemployment rate can be used as an endogenous variable into the macro-control model that the author rebuilds based on Taylor’s model. The policy suggestion implied in this article is that maintaining a high rate of economic growth will promptly reduce the hidden unemployment rate to a critical level before the registered unemployment rate declines.